The Liberal Party's leadership race is heating up, with a mix of established figures and dark horses vying for control. The spectacle has captivated voters, who witness politicians tripping over each other in a party that has lost its way and now trails One Nation in the polls. Despite public complaints, many Liberals are quietly maneuvering behind the scenes, positioning themselves for a potential power play. The question remains: Who will emerge as the leader and shape the party's future?
Sussan Ley: The Front-Runner
Sussan Ley, the current leader, has strong public support and a confident camp. Her ability to control the timing of meetings, scheduled for Friday morning, gives her an advantage. Ley's supporters taunt Angus Taylor's bid as a 'TACO spill,' suggesting he lacks the courage to lead. However, some privately doubt her leadership, and the race remains uncertain.
Angus Taylor: The Rival
Angus Taylor, a former backbencher, has ambitions to lead. His bid is supported by a group of young conservative MPs. Taylor's supporters believe he has the necessary numbers, and they tried to build momentum with a series of resignations. However, some Liberals express reluctance about his leadership, citing timing as a concern.
Ted O'Brien: The Loyal Deputy
Ted O'Brien, a little-known MP, became the deputy leader after the election. He is not aligned with any faction and is tied to Ley. If there is no consensus for a female deputy, O'Brien might hold on by default. Some suggest he could be a third option for leader, but a Liberal source rules this out, focusing on his role as deputy.
Tim Wilson: The Improbable Victor?
Tim Wilson, a millennial and the sole inner-city MP, has ambitions for leadership. He wants a leader with a track record of turning impossible situations into improbable victories. Wilson's potential as a third option is discussed, but it remains uncertain if he can beat Taylor. He may also seek the deputy role.
Andrew Hastie: The Heir Apparent
Andrew Hastie, a zealous and ambitious MP, is a rising star. His group of younger conservative MPs, including Phil Thompson and Henry Pike, is gaining influence. They are lukewarm about Taylor's bid, ensuring Hastie's presence. Hastie aims for an economic portfolio to broaden his resume.
Jane Hume: The Lone Wolf
Jane Hume, a moderate, has been a critic of public servants' policies. She backed Taylor last time but was relegated to the backbench. Now, she positions herself as a possible deputy, but her chances are uncertain in a crowded field.
James Paterson and Jonathon Duniam: The Conservative Brokers
James Paterson and Jonathon Duniam, young senators, have risen in stature. They often act as envoys in disagreements, with Paterson supporting Taylor and Duniam backing Hastie. Their joint resignation from Ley's frontbench carries weight, and their relationship will be crucial for the party's stability.
Anne Ruston: The Moderate Leader
Anne Ruston, a moderate senator, has been a de facto leader. She publicly supports Ley but hinted at pragmatism in a meeting with Taylor. Ruston and other moderates could shift behind a third candidate or power-share with Taylor if he gains numbers.
Alex Hawke: The Numbers Man
Alex Hawke, a former lieutenant of Scott Morrison, is known for his ability to read and shape numbers to his advantage. He supports Ley and runs her numbers against Taylor, a rival in New South Wales. Hawke's alternatives and strategic thinking are key to the leadership race.
The Others
Several other Liberals, including Zoe McKenzie, Angie Bell, and Melissa McIntosh, have been mentioned as possible deputies, frontbenchers, or leaders. The party is aware of the potential blowback from deposing the first woman leader, and the Taylor camp hopes a female deputy could ease tensions. The unexpected is always expected in this political arena.
